CNN Data Guru’s DIRE WARNING For Dems As Midterms Approach | The Kyle Kulinski Show

Alright, welcome to the show, y 'all.Hope y 'all are having an awesome day out there.Got a lot of stuff to get to today.In just a second, CNN's Data Guru is now issuing a dire warning for Democrats that you have to see to believe.I know a lot of us have been thinking, hey bro, midterms are going to be a total bloodbath.It's going to be overwhelming.

There are some red flags.that we need to discuss.There are some numbers that, uh, on the lower end of it, bro, like, it would actually be a horrific night for Democrats.So, I'm gonna walk you through all that, tell you what the solution is as well.Uh, we'll also talk about Trump completely losing his mind and authorizing cancer -causing pesticides.There's this pesticide that's banned in 60 different countries.

He authorized it for use in this country.So apparently, we're all gonna get fucking cancer.with these new decisions that he's making when it comes to the EPA and regulations.So we'll talk about that.We also have experts are terrified as a deadly super El Nino is currently forming.Everything I've read about that is genuinely, genuinely putting the fear of God into me.

We also have Ted Cruz is cooked to his face by a TMZ reporter in a Viral humiliation you do not want to miss this I told you guys TMZ would be the real deal And they would instantly do a better job than a lot of the mainstream media outlets And they are absolutely proving that correct and then later on Jeff Bezos gives an interview with the media and boy oh boy is He shouldn't have done that.He needs to go to shut -the -fuck -upsville because the more these billionaires talk, the more we all hate them, and he was begging to not have his taxes raised and saying blatantly untrue things, and we're going to break all that down and more.So you guys know the deal, man.Everybody do me a big favor and subscribe to the channel.That helps out big time and costs you nothing at all.You can also click that bell icon.

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So, CNN's data guru, this guy Harry Enten, the polling expert, he did a segment that I wanted to share with you because it's actually a little bit terrifying about what's coming in the midterms.Now, to this point, Yes, we have all collectively thought, oh, it's gonna be, like, it's over already, like, this thing is gonna be colossal, this thing is gonna be, like, prime FDR -type margins, because the Republican Party is now a fascist, terrorist, imperialist death cult, and everybody's onto that, right?They can't hide that.And, uh, look, it's still the case, I don't wanna oversell this, it's still the case that, um, we are likely to pick up a lot of seats, However, there are some concerning things that we're seeing that he's going to lay out for us.So let's take a look and then we'll break it down.

Sometimes we sort of get lost, right?We focus in on one poll and one narrative.And sometimes there are competing narratives.And I think it's worth just taking a step back because I think some people are like, well, the polls said one thing and another thing happened.Actually, the polls here differ quite a bit.Democrats lead in choice and choice for Congress.

Look at this.New York Times poll came out yesterday.It's 10.That matches with Marist.That was 10.But the Washington Post came out within the last month.

That was 5.Fox News came out in the last month.That was 5.And then the CNN poll that we were discussing last week, right?That was a three -point lead.There's quite this bit of variance that is going on right here.

And you know what?This is actually a good thing.This is a normal thing.This is what happens when and you have margins of error that are going out there, you'd expect an error.but then you have a range of possible results around that average, and we're not necessarily sure which one is right if the election were held today.And of course, there's the extra variance of the fact that the election is not being held until November.

All right.A range of possible results.

And in this case, you know, you want to hit a pen, Johnny, hit a pen.I'm gonna hit a pen.There we go.There you go.In this case, this result would be wildly different.than that result.

Right.OK, so you see, this is, of course, the choice, the national popular vote for the House.But what does that mean in terms of seats?What's the difference between, let's say, Democrats winning by 10 versus winning by three?And this is where it gets really interesting.OK, so even if you take redistricting into account, given a popular vote win of, let's say, three points, what would that mean for Democratic House gains?

They gain probably somewhere an estimate is between zero and six seats, which at the upper end of that range would be enough to take back the House.But on the lower end of that range, that would not be that would be Republicans holding on.

So understand something.It is within the range.that Republicans hold on to the House.Let me repeat that.It is within the range that Republicans can hold on to the House.The lower end of the pole is so bad that it is possible Republicans maintain control.

Chew on that for a second as we continue here.

But what about that 10 -point lead that you see in Marist, the New York Times?Well, that would be a ginormous blowout.And this is just an estimate.It could be higher, a little bit higher, a little bit lower.But we're talking about an estimate of a Democratic gain of between 20 to 30 seats or more.They could be ending up 245 seats or north of there, potentially, versus being stuck, let's say, 213, 214, 215, 216, maybe barely getting to a majority.

So look, when you see this range of potential results, I want you to keep in mind, yes, Democrats are probably favored to take back the House.It's by no means a guarantee.But they could end up blowing the Republicans right out out of the water.All of that is within the margin of error at this point, especially given that we're months from the election.

Yes, the difference between maybe not taking it and taking it by a lot.That's the variance in the polls right now.So, Professor Retton, what does one do?What does one do at this stage in the game when you have these polls showing all these different things?

Well, I'm glad you asked that, Professor Berman.And what we would do is we might average the polls together, and you can see that there's been a clear shift towards the Democrats.in the average poll.Choice for Congress margin.You go back to Election Day last year, you know, in November of 2025, Democrats were ahead by four.They're now ahead by seven in the average poll at this point.

And if that average held, that would result very much assuredly a clear Democratic majority.And then the last little thing that I will note here is just, you know, a Cauchy prediction mark, a chance that Democrats in the midterms, 218 House, and then, let's say, gaining in the Senate, but not necessarily taking it back.Look at this.69 % chance, a very nice 69 % chance.So Democrats are still in the catbird seat here.They're likely to gain the House, likely to gain the Senate, but it's by no means a guarantee.

Put simply, y 'all, we need the left -flank candidates.It really is that simple.Like, every single left -flank candidate, you need to vote for them in the primaries.You need to get them through.They need to be the ones to represent us because if that's not the case, then it is absolutely possible that this thing gets blown.The lead could get blown.

I have no doubt about it.Guys, we just saw the other night The New York Knicks, playing the Cavaliers, the Cavaliers were up 22 points with 7 minutes left.And not only did the Knicks come back to win, they ended up winning by 11 points.It was a historic collapse.I'm not trying to see that happen with the Democrats leading now and then somehow the Republicans come back and went, I don't want to see that happen.So how do we ensure that doesn't happen?

You support the left flank Democrats, have them be the nominees because they will absolutely, belt to askies, absolutely destroy the Republicans.So understand something.We're in a different place today than we were even just like two months ago.Why?Because Republicans are openly cheating.That's what they're doing.

They're redistricting.They're gerrymandering.Now not only are they doing that, they are doing that as blue states are not keeping up.A lot of blue state governors are sitting around with their thumbs up their asses.Or, like Virginia, they have a direct vote.We try to fix it by counter -gerrymandering, and then the court here strikes it down.

So if you're following along, Republicans are allowed to do that.they're allowed to cheat, Democrats are not allowed to counter -cheat.Well, what do you think that does to our chances in the midterms?Okay?Also, betting market odds for Democrats dropped as soon as it became clear Republicans were going to cheat everywhere and Democrats are not going to be able to catch up.That's not good either.

Okay?The other thing that's terrifying me, I don't know how many of you remember this, but in 2022, everybody and their mother was predicting, oh, red wave, red wave, red wave, red wave, red wave.And then what happened?The red wave didn't materialize.It was a red trickle, as people said.And I worry that that's what's going to happen this time, but on our side.

That the blue wave could become a blue trickle.But again, the reason for that would be, number one, because they're cheating, and number two, if we have lame -ass Democrats, it is possible that it's going to be closer than we want it to be.So the bottom line is, Democrats, you have to fight.You have to fight.I need every Democrat running.to start saying, the enemy are the billionaires, the fascists, and the warmongers.

I need you to say that.I need you to say it every interview you do.I need you to say it in debates.I need you to say it to your opponent's face.I need you to say it on social media.I need you to say it in a boat.

I need you to say it on a goat.The enemies are the billionaires, the fascists, and the warmongers.Because you know what?The Republicans are going to be doing their old tricks.They're gonna be out there saying, oh, the immigrants are why everything sucks, or the trans people, or the black people, or this minority group, or Muslims, or that minority group.This is what they'll do.

And it's called divide and congress, the oldest trick in the book.And they successfully dupe a lot of people into thinking, oh yeah, maybe they are the problem.No, they're not the problem.The problem are the billionaires and the fascists and the warmongers.And it's time you fucking say that.Make an enemy of the billionaires.

Make an enemy of the Epstein class.Make an enemy of MAGA.Make an enemy of these warmongers that are starting a new war every other week, led by Donald J. Trump.Okay?You need to go out there and talk about it.Epstein.

Call Donald Trump a pedophile.That's right.Call him a pedophile.Call him a rapist.Call him a fat war criminal.Call him a con man.

Why do I need to tell these people these things?That's the thing that drives me crazy, is like, you should be sounding like me anyway.They shouldn't need me to say this shit.I don't have to tell Graham Platt or this.He goes out there and does a great job and says all this shit.I don't need to tell Abdul El -Sayed this.

He does a great job.There's a lot of Democrats that need to fucking hear this.that need to bring up Jeffrey Epstein, need to bring up how Trump's a pedophile, need to bring up that he's protecting a child trafficking ring.They need to bring up his corruption.You shouldn't go a single day without talking about Donald Trump's corruption, whether it's the $1 .7 billion he stole from US taxpayers in order to pay his insurrectionists and his terrorists and all of his fucking buddies and his family members, whether it's that, or it's the insider trading where he made between $220 million and $720 million, or it's the crypto scam that he ran on his own supporters This man has no morals whatsoever, scamming his own fucking people.Okay, bring that up.

Bring up the war.Do not shut the fuck up.And I don't want to hear this bullshit like, uh, sir, you didn't fill out the right paperwork for the war.No, fuck that.You should be against the war in principle.For moral reasons, for ethical reasons, you should be talking about the innocent little girls who were carpet bombed and triple tapped by the Axis of Epstein, the U .

S.and Israel.Okay?You should be talking about the genocide.You should be saying, we're gonna cut off all money and weapons to Israel.This is what you should be saying.

No more war with Iran.Stop fucking doing a new regime change every other week.You should never shut the fuck up about the cost of living.Why don't Democrats go out there every day and say, hey, you do know Donald Trump kicked 18 million people off Medicaid, right?You are aware of that, right?You are aware that he's doubling and tripling and in some cases quadrupling your health insurance premium, right?

You are aware of that.You are aware he's cutting taxes for billionaires and raising taxes for you if you're a regular person, right?You are aware of that, right?You need to say all these things.It is very unfortunate, I'm being nice here by just saying this,word, that people have to come here to hear these talking points.

Because all I'm doing is connecting the dots.All I'm doing is pointing at what actually happened and saying, damn, isn't that shit fucked up?And you know what the reaction is?Everybody goes, holy shit, that is really fucked up.And that's how you win.Okay?

So, they gotta get their act together, man.Look, I understand.Democrats have taken the approach of, we're gonna step aside and let Republicans destroy themselves.They're so evil and bad that they will destroy themselves if we just let them make decisions.And you know what?As I told you from day one, that is true.

You actually can win doing that.Okay?Here's the problem, though.You win by much less than if you actually go out there and fight.So, ladies and gentlemen, I'm going to say it again.This thing is not over.

This thing is not done.Spread this message far and wide.Send this to your favorite Democratic candidate.Send this to any Democratic candidate.Share this as much as you can so people know.The rules are very simple.

The roadmap is very simple.If you want to win, repeat after me.Call out the billionaires, the fascists, and the warmongers.They're the problem.Talk about Epstein.Talk about Trump's corruption.

Talk about the illegal wars.Talk about cost of living.Say you want Medicare for all, and free college, and a living wage, and ending the wars, and raising taxes on the wealthy, and redistributing that, giving every school kid in this country free breakfast and free lunch.This is the sort of stuff we need.Talk about social housing.Right?

We have a housing crisis.Well, we should do social housing.Talk about all that.That's how you win.That's how you win.Get on top of it.