NEW POLLS Shake Canadian Politics

Hello everyone, welcome back.There's been some extensive new polling done.New polling by Abacus Data.On May 10th, the headline is, Carney government approval hits new high as Liberals lead Conservatives by 10 points.

That's the headline, but they did a variety of polls that paint a very interesting picture.One of the most important questions asked was, what are the three most important issues facing Canada today?And by a wide margin, Canadians choose the rising cost of living as the most important issue.followed by the economy and the bombastic fool who runs the United States.Government approval.Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the job the federal government led by Mark Carney is doing?

57 % of Canadians approve.That's up three points from April.28 % disapprove.That's down 1 % from April.When you look at the categories below, you'll notice the top answer is mostly approve at 37%.Strongly approve is second at 20%.

strongly disapprove is only 16%.As far as party leader impressions, this one tells a big story.The question being, do you have a positive or negative impression of leader?For Mark Carney, 54 % of Canadians have a positive impression.28 % have a negative impression.That gives him a plus 26 on net impression.

For Pierre Poliev, it's a different story.35 % of Canadians have a positive impression of Pierre Poliev, while 45 % have a negative impression.His net impression polling is minus 10.The new leader of the NDP actually polls better than Pierre Polyev.Most Canadians had a neutral response for Mr. Lewis, but he polls 18 % positive and 26 % negative, giving him a net impression of minus 8.Now this is a really interesting question, and Pierre Polyev better take note of this one.

The question being, which of the following comes closer to your own view, even if neither is true?right?So everyone has to respond.55 % of Canadians say the Carney government represents a genuine break from the Trudeau years.It has a different approach to managing the economy.45 % of Canadians say the Carney government is essentially a continuation of the Trudeau years.

The style has changed, but the governing approach is the same.

That's a 10 point difference.And quite frankly, I'm surprised with that result.And I believe that 45 percent are heavily reflected in conservative voters who just think, well, a liberal is a liberal is a liberal.And Mark Carney would have been quite comfortable as the conservative leader when the conservatives called themselves the progressive conservatives in the past was compared to Mark Carney is not as much of a difference as Mark Carney compared to Justin Trudeau.That's my personal opinion.But in this poll, only a 10 point spread.

Leave your comments in the comment section where you think about that.But there's more.

If an election were held today, which national party would you vote for?And these results are just horrible for the Conservatives now.46 % of Canadians say they would vote Liberal.That's plus one from April.The Conservatives sit at 36%.That hasn't changed.

The NDP at 8 % hasn't changed.The bloc is actually down 1 point.

So that has to be a discouraging number for the Conservatives.They've basically been on a steady decline from being up 27 points on the Liberals before the last election to now trailing by 10 points.That's a 37 point swing.37 percentage point swing.That's huge.

But there's more.And this one is very interesting.Accessible voter pools.Would you consider or not consider voting for the following federal political parties?So the question is not would you vote for, but would you consider voting for.Canada -wide, the Liberals sit at 60%.

That gives them a lot of room to grow.Conservatives sit at 49%.NDP at 32%.You notice if you add all those numbers up, that's higher than 100%.This is just one Possibility.

What's the upside for the party?And the Liberals are way ahead with a 60 % upside.The Conservatives can barely manage 50%.That makes it very difficult for them to ever form a majority.

And when you break this down by province, we're going to look at the three most important provinces here.The same question.In Quebec, the Liberals sit at 61%.The Conservatives drop to 33%.

If in Quebec, only 33 % of people would even consider voting for you, that means you're going to get a lot less than that in an election, which translates into virtually no seats in Quebec.This is terrible news for the Conservatives in Quebec, and it shows that they haven't penetrated that province at all, and they have to do that to even come close to winning.They couldn't do it in the last election, and they're no better right now.In fact, they're worse now.

Ontario shows the highest percentage of people that would consider voting Liberal.64%.The Conservatives also have good upside in Ontario.

52 % of people in Ontario would consider voting Conservative.So in this province, there's a chance for both parties.The Liberals could extend their lead in Ontario by winning back some of the seats that are now held by Conservatives.On the other hand, the Conservatives have good potential in Ontario.And that's always been the case in Ontario.They could go both ways depending on which leader they like at the time, which policies they agree with, many factors.

Ontario can swing either way.

The province with the third highest seat total, British Columbia, 61 % of BC'sresidents would consider voting Liberal.and only 47%, less than half, would even consider voting Conservative.

So it's a big mishmash of information there.It's not just a headline, Liberals are now leading by 10 points.The biggest takeaway is that the Liberals have the biggest upside, but the Conservatives also have some pretty good upside up to around that 50 % level, which is much higher than they got in popular vote in the last election.I believe they were at around 45%.41%.If they would hit 50, that would give them a majority, depending how the NDP and Liberals split the vote.

The problem is the leader that they have is so unpopular, they probably won't ever get that potential.if they hold him.So, of course, Pierre Polyaev tells conservatives he will stay on and keep fighting after Carney secured his majority.In fact, he's decided that his best strategy is to double down on what he's been doing all along.Polyaev said that he will not bend to what he called the club of liberal elites that dominates this town by changing the style or substance of his political messaging.

In fact, he's decided to just keep doing what he's been doing his whole career.

Insult, berate, accuse, blame, belittle, and complain.And just keep doing that over and over again.And throw in a little bit of a axe the tax, and everything's broken.

That's what he's going to keep doing.That's despite recent polling from the Angus Reid Institute.The headline reading, 58 % of past conservative voters stand by Polyev's long -term leadership, but increasing numbers say he should go.Who asked the question, do you think Pierre Polyev should lead the CPC into the next election, or should another leader take his place?Polling only conservative voters, 57 % said he should continue to lead the party down from 68 % in the last month.

and 30 % say he should be replaced up from 18 % in the last poll and that's exactly why he intends to stay because he disagrees with Everyone because why wouldn't you take that position?Why wouldn't you stay the course?starting with a 27 point lead before the last election and watching it dwindle away and then losing the election and losing your own seat and And then after running in a by -election and getting back in the House of Commons, watching four of your MPs leave so that the Liberals can form a majority, why wouldn't you just stay the course?Well done, Pierre.Well done.Now, I gotta say, he must have a Liberal as his strategist that works for him, that sets out his strategy for him.

Whoever's doing your strategy, Pierre, don't fire them.Leave your comments in the comment section.Let me know what all of you think.I'm interested in your point of view.Subscribe to my channel if you're enjoying the content.If you want to support my work on a monthly basis, consider becoming a channel member by clicking the join button below.

Have a fantastic rest of your day, everyone.I'll catch you all on the next one.