Problems for Vladimir Putin.His approval ratings in Russia are fluctuating.Fuel is running low at many gas stations in the country.The economy is in trouble and the attack war in Ukraine is also not really moving forward.Is it slowly becoming serious for the Russian president?Or is it just a lukewarm breeze that he is relaxed about?
And what does all this mean for Ukraine?Answers to this are now available.Vladimir Putin seems to be as worried about his safety as ever before.He is afraid of getting infected with a dangerous virus, it is said from his environment.Fear of becoming a victim of a coup d 'etat, of Russian elites, or fear of an attack on him with drones.When Putin is at an economic meeting in Kazakhstan at the end of May, there are not only many security people on his side, but also a drone defense system.
And a helicopter is constantly monitoring the area from above in which the Russian president is standing.Although other heads of state and government are strongly protected during public appearances, the security precautions at Vladimir Putin have been on a different level for some time.Media reports that Putin would stay in huge bunker facilities in Russia for weeks to be protected.And the traditional military parade on May 9th, to celebrate the victory over the Nazi Germany, fell significantly smaller in 2026 than in the years before, due to threats of drone attacks from Ukraine.At the same time, Vladimir Putin still appears as a strong man in the public eye.At the annual TV show, Direct Wire to Vladimir Putin, at the end of 2025, he presents himself as close to the people and robust.
And when he visits areas in the front line, he publicly declares that he is determined to continue the war and want to win.Rumors of such appearances would sometimes cause doubles, the Kremlin always rejects the services of the Russian president.Putin is fit and healthy and does not need a doppelganger, it is said.despite Alde's repeatedly highlighted mistakes.a little something is changing in Russia right now.In a country that has become more and more an autocratic state from a democratic upheaval in the 1990s and early 2000s.
A country with a strong man at the top, who unbridled directs politics and does not allow any competition.You can find out more about this in the video above on the i.Vladimir Putin has long been unbridled number one in Russia.Also because he systematically suppresses and eliminates the opposition in the country and other critical voices.
such as Alexei Navalny, who is now considered to have been killed in Russian custody in 2024, or Yevgeny Prigozhin, a former powerful Russian paramilitary man, who died in a plane crash in 2023 under mysterious circumstances.
A short time after he had refused to join his troops against Putin.No one has so far managed to seriously endanger Vladimir Putin.But maybe this is now changing due to a series of problems in Russia, and these problems are threatening to get bigger and bigger.Putin's popularity is also suffering from this.It is difficult to analyze the approval of his policy in Russia independently, but those who try to do so come to a noticeable decline in the past 12 months.The only independent opinion research institute of the Russian state, the Levada Center, currently has values of over 70 percent.
In comparison to other heads of state and government worldwide, this is an outstanding value.However, at the beginning of 2025, it was still almost 90 percent.What is the reason for this?What difficulties does Putin have to deal with?Let's take a closer look and start with, first of all, Putin.The Russian economy.
If you want to understand why Vladimir Putin became so popular so quickly after his office as president in 2000, you have to look at the economic situation at the time.At the end of the 1990s, Russia slipped into a deep economic crisis, also called the ruble crisis.Many people were doing very badly at the time.They did not know how to survive the next day.Then came Putin and some things got better.At least that's how many Russians perceived it.
Within a few years, the economic situation of the country and also that of the population has significantly improved.Investments have increased massively.Production has increased significantly.The economic performance went up and at the same time poverty in Russia declined.
This was partly due to Vladimir Putin and his politics, but also to conjunctural movements that had already begun before him.He, so to speak, jumped on the moving train and that was very successful.For many people in Russia, Vladimir Putin is therefore the man who has made them wealthier to this day, who was able to build up the country and who is able to bring it back to old strength.Putin benefits from this call again and again.It is all the more difficult for him if things go in a different direction now.Until after 2024, the Russian economy was doing relatively well.
Despite sanctions, especially from the West, growth in 2023 and 2024 was at more than 4%.In 2025, however, there was already a decline, and now the economic burdens are clearly visible.The Vienna Institute for International Economic Comparisons expects a growth rate of a maximum of 0 .6 % in Russia for 2026.Despite still high production in the military sector, the economy is declining and the population is increasingly feeling the consequences.The reasons for this are, above all, first, a comparatively high interest rate, which makes loans and thus investments more expensive.Second, Internet bans and blockades, which are also a problem for Russian digital companies that want to act worldwide.
Third, a declining demand due to ever higher consumer prices.Fourth, declining oil prices and thus less revenue.Fifth, an ever stronger ruble, which makes Russian products more expensive abroad.And sixth, massive problems for the energy industry.In the meantime, in many parts of Russia, fuel is scarce.Gas stations have to be closed or gasoline and diesel have to be rationed.
But the question is, how can that be?There should be enough oil in Russia, shouldn't there?This brings us directly to the next point, namely to the second, attacks from Ukraine.For four and a half years, Ukraine has been defending itself against the full invasion of Russia.And since 2014, generally against Russian aggression.And now not only within their own country, but also on the territory of the aggressor, i .
e.on Russian territory.In smaller operations with soldiers who cross the border and mostly occupy Russian territories and cause unrest.In a much larger style, however, by attacks from the air.namely with drones and missiles.Last but not least, AI -based systems, such as the so -called Hornet drone.
Particularly in focus are, according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies, military production facilities, logistics targets, military bases and similar targets, such as the Russian Navy, and, above all, the energy infrastructure, i .
e.fuel ships or oil refineries.And here we are already at the crucial point, because Oil alone does not yet make fuel.
The oil must first be converted, so to speak, into oil refineries.And if they are out of battle, then this can lead to bottlenecks.Almost all of the largest Russian refinery facilities have now been hit at least once by Ukrainian drone attacks.Some of them had to be completely shut down in operation.Some of the facilities continue to operate only with reduced power.Of the nearly 90 Russian regions, about half have so far been significantly affected.
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Get started freeIn Nizhny Novgorod, Astrakhan or Arial, for example, the fuel had to be rationed.In other regions, there was temporarily nothing left for private drivers at the gas stations.The extent of daily oil processing has been at its lowest value in Russia for more than 20 years.Russia.This is of course a problem for the population, but also for the economy.Not only because it is becoming more difficult to get fuel, but also because it is becoming more expensive at gas stations.
Fuel prices are rising, with a corresponding impact on transport costs and ultimately also on the prices of products.In order to counter this, Russia has even been forced in the meantime to no longer supply diesel to foreign countries.As a result, revenues have also declined.So, Ukrainian attacks on Russia are becoming more and more noticeable, especially in the energy sector.And even though Russia has been able to intercept most of the drones and missiles so far, the consequences of the war are now noticeable for significantly more people in everyday life than they were three or four years ago.And this is also due to, thirdly, high numbers of dead and injured.
The war against Ukraine has cost Russia not only money and material, but also human lives.A lot of human lives.The aforementioned CSIS estimates the number of Russian victims to 1 .4 million.Among them, between 400 ,000 and 450 ,000 deaths.In comparison, among the Ukrainian forces, there should be between 125 ,000 and 150 ,000 deaths.Of course, this is also an incredibly high number, but the Russian losses are significantly higher.
And even if it is common in wars, in quotation marks, that attackers suffer more losses than those who defend, it is important to keep the relations in mind during this war.The number of Russian losses in the Ukrainian war is nine times higher than all the other Russian and Soviet wars since 1945.And even if the numbers of the CSRS seem too high to you, other estimates are mostly based on losses in the middle six -digit range.More about this in the infobox below.The military gain for Russia has been manageable for a while.Occupied areas are mostly held, but Russia can only conquer new areas very slowly from Ukraine.
This is also due to the factalso pays for this.While the Russian army has advanced several thousand meters per day in the early days of the war in 2022, it is not even more than 100 meters per day.It is a loss -making human and material battle.And what is particularly problematic from a Russian point of view is that, according to CSRS, the current recruits, i .e.
the recruitment of new forces for the army, may no longer be enough to completely compensate for the losses.The relationship between victims and new soldiers, therefore, continues to decline.And the result is that apparently young men are sometimes forced to fight in Ukraine.Videos appear on the Internet in which men are, so to speak, collected from the street against their will.This is also the case in Ukraine.At the same time, the army lures students with money and promises.
Recruitment is also carried out abroad, for example in Indonesia and Malaysia.This, of course, is not unnoticed in Russia in general.There is a lot of criticism of forced recruitment.The videos on social media platforms cause outrage among some people in Russia.And the high number of deaths and injuries are a source of resistance.And also when the affected come from rural and structurally weak areas, where it is more difficult to get together, to mobilize, to protest, there is an increasing degree of dissatisfaction in the country.
According to the motto, we have been fighting here for ages, we sacrifice our siblings, our children, our husbands, our wives, we have high losses, but hardly anything happens.Should this development stop, a problem could develop for Vladimir Putin, because even with the control of the media and the Internet, such a mood cannot be suppressed by the Russian government in the long run.And at the latest when the elites in the country seriously begin to question the war and thus Vladimir Putin, it could become dangerous for him.The well -known Russian political scientist Ekaterina Shulman, who is now living in exile in Germany, speaks in an interview with the Tagesspiegel about a possible war in the future.and that Putin would carry out purges in the country against critics and opponents.So, the course of the war and the high losses are also putting pressure on Vladimir Putin.
But does this mean that Russia is also about to lose the war against Ukraine?Most experts agree on this question.No, this is not the case.Russia still has sufficient money.Around 40 % of the state budget flows into war, armament and security.There is sufficient weapons and other war material and can be reproduced over and over again.
Also because of the cooperation with countries like China.And in addition, Vladimir Putin has so far managed to keep the mood on his side in the majority.But very slowly something could turn in Russia.How far that is not yet foreseeable, but the hope of many opponents of the war, especially of course in Ukraine, is that at some point Vladimir Putin will not be able to stand it anymore.And he explains himself to talks about a ceasefire.But so far this should not be the case, because Putin has a lot to lose.
He has attacked Ukraine with the aim of bringing the country under Russian control.The least he would like to achieve would be for Russia to get Ukrainian territories permanently.Under this requirement, talks for Putin are probably uninteresting.We will therefore decide how the problems for Putin will develop.If he is unable to find solutions for this, it could become tight for him, especially if the support of Western countries for Ukraine continues or is still being expanded.Because that is also part of it.
Ukraine is suffering heavily from Russian attacks and it is becoming more and more difficult to maintain defense.What do you think?How will the situation develop?Feel free to write it down in the comments and please stay factual and fair.And next to me you will find a slightly older video about Putin's war goals and one about a completely different country in which there are currently massive protests, namely about Albania.Feel free to take a look.
Thank you for that.Thank you for watching.and see you next time.
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