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They have a plan to REMOVE TRUMP NOW

David Pakman Show51 views
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There is a plan to remove Donald Trump now, soon, like in the next couple of months.And I have to tell you about it.I'm going to tell you each step of this plan.This is from a piece that Robert Reich recently wrote about on a substack.And it outlines a plan that he heard about.Now, I've told you before, there are only a few ways out before Donald Trump's term ends.

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One is Trump dies or is completely incapacitated.The other is impeachment.And then there's the 25th Amendment.I've also told you that the 25th Amendment and impeachment seem essentially impossible.What Robert Reich writes about and will link to his piece is a version of the 25th Amendment plan that is in play specifically because of the drama between J .D.

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Vance and Marco Rubio.So let me explain it and then I'll tell you whether I think that this is viable.Robert Reich writes that he was recently at a dinner with political operatives and that they believe this is the most realistic plan to remove Trump soon.And it goes like this.Step one, food and gas prices stay so high that much of the Republican base turns on Trump during this summer.And Trump's cognitive problems become even more obvious so that the Republican Party is sort of less and less attached to the idea of Trump as someone that they want in power.

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Step two is that Vice President J .D.Vance goes to the secretary of state, Marco Rubio, and says, hey, listen, if you join me in saying we've got to remove Trump through the 25th Amendment, I will make you the vice president when I become president.And Rubio goes, all right, I would go for that.Vance and Rubio together go to Speaker of the House Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune and they'd say, this is what we're thinking.about doing.

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Johnson and Thune say we would support it.Then Vance and Rubio goes to Pete Hegseth and says, hey, if you support this, we'll give you job security as secretary of defense.You get to keep your job after Trump is gone.And then they go to Todd Blanch, the interim attorney general, and they say, hey, if you are on board with this, you will be the permanent attorney general.And that becomes enough to convince others in the Cabinet to follow along.They communicate this to Johnson and Thune and Johnson and Thune act on it in accordance with the 25th Amendment.

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Now, the reason J .D.Vance would like it is, listen, he gets to be president right away and it also sets him up really well for twenty twenty eight.It also short circuits what could be a really ugly Vance versus Rubio Republican primary in twenty twenty eight.Rubio then is set up himself for twenty thirty two or maybe for twenty thirty six.And Republicans finally do away with Trump in a way that they can run on.

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We got rid of him.We decided to move on.Don't punish us for the fact that he was at the head of the Republican Party for over 10 years.We eventually came around and got rid of him.Now, here's the disclaimer.Even according to Robert Reich, even the people pushing this rank it at 30 percent odds.

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Not great, meaning it most likely does not happen.The exception is, again, the war with Iran continues.The odds continue to rise as Americans are increasingly unhappy with Trump and MAGA and current Republican leadership.So that's the plan.Now, let me tell you what the plan does not account for.For all of the reasons

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that J .D.D.Vance might want to do it.I think J .D.Vance would be too afraid because if it didn't work, he is done.

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And the full wrath of Trump would rain down upon him.Similar with Marco Rubio.For all the reasons Marco Rubio might want to do it.I don't even know that Marco Rubio wants to wait until 2032 or 2036 to have a shot at being president.And I think Rubio thinks Vance will be terrible as president and would actually damage Rubio's chances for whenever the next Republican has a chance at running.So I think Vance has reasons not to go with this.

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And Rubio has reasons not to go with this.Then we talk about, well, what about MAGA Mike Johnson going along with it?I think the speaker of the House, Mike Johnson, will be terrified that the plan won't work.And then if Trump finds out that Johnson was willing and was involved, that Mike Johnson's political career gets destroyed by Donald Trump.So the point is, there are a lot of ways that this can go wrong.And there are people who would be very afraid of how they will suffer if it doesn't go well after they say, I'm involved and I'm interested.

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Now, if we zoom out, I've been saying for a long time, I believe the only real way Trump leaves a day early is if he is dead or incapacitated.And even the people that Robert Reich had dinner with, he acknowledges, say it's only a 30 percent shot.This is the best chance and the best chance has 30 percent odds.I actually would open up a question slightly differently, which is what is more likely to happen?Trump dying in officeTrump being removed by the 25th Amendment?

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If we give the 25th Amendment scenario, as described here, a 30 percent chance, we'd have to look at the actuarial tables.But I think that the odds of Trump dying in office are probably equal to or greater than 30 percent, although I should.Let's even see if I can find it.Actuarial tables, odds of 79 year old man dying.Let's take a look and see what we can find.um, actuarial life tables, male who is seventy nine looks like.

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So according to the actuarial tables, there is a five and a half percent chance that Trump dies during the next year.And over the next two years, it would be looks like about eleven and a half.So, you know, interestingly, maybe the odds are actually higher with this 30 percent scenario of 25th Amendment than Trump dying, at least according to the actuarial tables.I'll open it up to you.Does this scheme strike you as likely or even potentially likely to remove Donald Trump?It's very interesting.

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But what I want to hear about from you is how likely do you believe that it is?Leave me a comment or send me an email.Info at David Pakman dot com.

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