It's Wednesday, March 25th, 2026. It's the 84th day of the year, and we've got some serious weather to cover. A dangerous severe weather outbreak is taking aim at the Midwest tomorrow with the potential for strong tornadoes,
very large hail, and damaging winds to some areas that were just impacted a couple of weeks ago. So let's jump right into it. So of course, we gotta start off with this SPC outlook. This is for tomorrow where we are tracking a highly dangerous severe weather outbreak
targeting the Midwest. This is Thursday and we've got 10 million people under the enhanced risk. That's a three out of five on the SPC risk categorical thing here. And the primary threat zone is gonna stretch
across Northern and Central Illinois into Indiana and even into Western Ohio, putting cities like Chicago, Peoria, and Fort Wayne squarely in the bullseye. This setup is really gonna begin on Thursday morning with a warm front lifting through the region,
pulling Gulf moisture and pushing temperatures into the upper 70s and even lower 80s. And I think we're even gonna have a very strong elevated mixed layer or EML. And that essentially means that there's gonna to be a layer of hot dry air aloft blowing in from that massive heat ridge that we've had down in the
Southwest. And that's going to act like a lid on the atmosphere for most of the day. It's actually going to be a nice day for most of the day, but you can see here on the thunderstorm fuel forecast, we're going to have explosive energy building underneath that lid. And then by late afternoon, we're gonna have a powerful cold front crash into this highly unstable air mass,
and it's gonna push the entire cap out of the way. It's gonna push it South, it's gonna clear it out, and that's going to allow for very strong storms with all hazards to start popping up right along the front. And when storms initiate, when they first start popping up, they're likely gonna start off as discrete supercells and they're going to be in a highly sheared environment capable of producing destructive hail
and potentially even tornadoes. And like we have the real opportunity here of seeing at least a couple of strong tornadoes. You can see the hatched area there from the storm prediction center. You got the 5% probability in the brown area, 2% in the green area. And this is going to be for tomorrow. Now, when those storms first pop up, they're going to be big hail makers and big tornado makers potentially.
But as the evening progresses, these individual storms are expected to merge into a powerful bowing squall line. And once that line forms, the primary hazard is going to transition to widespread damaging straight line winds capable of producing 70 mile per hour wind gusts, maybe even exceeding that and causing widespread damage.
I personally think that the tornado threat is going to be higher where we see more moisture tomorrow and it might end up being a little bit too hot and dry in Northern Illinois and Northern Indiana could see some more humidity I think that could be favorable. We're going to have to watch that very closely tomorrow. Obviously, we'll be live before these storms even start going really so we'll be looking at everything. We'll be diving into it and we'll be picking the storms that we think will produce tornadoes. Yeah, I think that we're going to have some
pretty bad conditions, especially along the corridor near and just south of Interstate 80 where the combination of instability and wind shear is looking really explosive. I think this line is going to push south and east through the nighttime hours and it's going to maintain its intensity as it approaches the Ohio River Valley. And of course, because this transition will happen overnight, you absolutely must have multiple ways to receive warnings that will wake you up. Okay.
If you live anywhere from Chicago to Columbus, even all the way down there to Cincinnati, even though the storms will start weakening once they get closer to Cincinnati. Your Thursday evening plans need to include a rock solid shelter plan because these storms are not going to mess around. And once again, some of these storms are going to be happening well into the overnight hours, into the early morning hours the next day.
So you're going to want to have a NOAA weather radio. You're going to want to have those alerts on your phone and you're gonna want to go over to y'all called app and sign up for Call alerts from me and if you want some more detailed Information on your specific location. You can go over to Ryan Hall y'all calm slash severe and put your location in and we've got it Set up now to where you can get some pretty detailed information here. You can see for example, Bloomington, Illinois, we got a serious threat tomorrow, specifically between 11 a.m. and 5 p.m. We're in that 5% tornado risk, 30% wind risk.
The hail risk is at 30% as well. You can see that we're gonna have significant wind organization. And once again, you can type in any location here and get the same data on ryanhalyal.com slash severe. You can see that our best chance for storms tomorrow is probably gonna be in the afternoon,
especially right there around that 3 to 6 p.m. time frame. And then things go down because once the front passes, we're really not too worried about it. And then we have the official, like actual SPC timing here where it looks like things are gonna start ramping up around 4, 5 p.m. and then once again, 6 p.m. and then once again 6 p.m. That's where we're really looking at getting our storms and then at some point between 5 and 7 p.m. we're gonna get the last storm out
of the way and then things are gonna start calming down. So once again RyanHallYall.com slash severe if you want to take a look at some of this data for your location. And while of course the severe storms are gonna grab all the headlines, the cold front that's driving them is going to cause a shocking temperature crash right behind it. You might hear this referred to as a pneumonia front on the news, which just means
that the temperatures are going to drop a lot behind the cold front because the larger Great Lakes are still very cold right now. You see, ahead of the front on Thursday afternoon, all these areas downwind of the Great Lakes are going to be baking in the 70s and even the lower 80s. But as that front surges southward, the winds are going to violently shift and it's going to put a brutal blast of cold air downwind of the lakes, especially Lake Michigan, Erie, and Huron. And
we're going to have somewhat of a pneumonia front here. You could be eating outside at lunchtime tomorrow in Chicago in 80 degree weather. And then by the time you get off work, it's plum near 40 degrees. So that's a 30, 40 degree temperature drop in the span of an afternoon or an evening, and it's just gonna be plum wild up there. All right, so let's talk about what happens
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Get started freeover the next 10 days outside of just the severe weather, because we've actually got a lot going on across the entire country, starting tomorrow morning. If you're up there in Northern Maine around Caribou or Presque, if you're up there around Caribou, you're going to be waking up to a slushy mess of quick-hitting snow. We're also going to have some of that up there around the Great Lakes, maybe a little bit of lake effect behind this storm. But as you can see here, as we look at the GFS, there's going to
be storm after storm after storm. We're going to enter this pattern where we are starting to have troughing in the west again. That's gonna crank up moisture from the Gulf, and we're gonna have storm systems right across the plains, heading up towards the Great Lakes that will cause intermittent problems with severe weather and snow up there towards the northern plains, but it's really going to move the vast majority
of the action towards the plains, towards the southeast, and it's actually gonna move a lot of the heat down towards the southeast as well versus staying locked up over there in the west. And then I think as we head into Monday, that western trough is really gonna start to eject and we're gonna have a short wave go across the plains
and that's our next big threat for severe weather, I think. So we'll have to keep a close eye on that. But you can see here on the looping GFS, we've got plenty of active weather downstream. I'm a little hyper focused on tomorrow right now, so we're going to get that out of the way and then we'll do another week long outlook. We did a pretty good one yesterday.
So if you want to check that out, go over to the YouTube channel and look at yesterday's video. But I do want to draw your attention to the Y'all squad. We just released our video of our relief mission to Union City and Union Lake in Michigan. So, you know, Michigan's under a threat for tornadoes again tomorrow.
I don't think we'll have a repeat of what happened a couple of weeks ago, but right after that tornado, the Y'all Squad showed up and we filmed it. Now we wanna show you guys what you're donating for. So that's the first of many videos
that are gonna come out. We've got another one coming out for Kankakee, Illinois, Aroma Park and all that stuff here soon. So make sure you go subscribe to the Y'all Squad channel. And of course, make sure you subscribe to this channel with notifications on because we will be going live tomorrow at some point. Make sure you use the 24-7 Y'all Bot channel as the waiting room. It'll tell you whenever I go live. And yeah, thank you so much for watching. I'll room. It'll tell you whenever I go live. And yeah, thank you so much for watching. I'll see you in the next one. Goodbye.
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