Tim Miller: Anti-Trump Side Has the ENERGY Now!

Hey, everybody, Tim from the Bulwark here. Just got off a little Labor Day deadline. White House with Steph Ruhle and for Nicole also had Matt Dowd and my man Eddie Glaude on with me. We talked about the town halls and the protests we've been seeing pushing back against Republican lawmakers against the Trump

administration agenda. And I could I got pretty encouraged by I keep I keep trying to say I think that it's important to have these things in context

I

Think that there is a really energized element of the pro-democracy Movement the anti-trump movement right now energy is very important in the midterms. I don't know That we're seeing a ton of evidence of like a sea change in in support for him But I think that the most engaged people right now are on the anti Trump side, which wasn't always true and you know, I mean that's we could make fun of Trump's rallies if you want, but You saw a lot of energy on the Trump side and you're not really seeing that right now

You're seeing a lot of energy on the other side. I think that's good. We also talked about Joni Ernst Decision not to run I have some You know a little informed information Informed is an all information informed informed Gossip for you guys on what motivated that move and what that could mean As far as Iowa being in play, we'll say Matt Dowd was a little bit more bullish on Iowa being in play than I am but it's not

it's not not in play and then we talked a little bit about the Trump executive orders that attempted assaults on democracy and what is actually meaningful there. So a lot to cover stick around Hope you enjoy subscribe to this feed though. We'll see you soon.

Numerous Republican lawmakers were on the receiving end of serious frustration and straight-up anger from those they represent at recent in-person town halls. And many of these lawmakers were in states that voted overwhelmingly for Donald John Trump. I'm talking about Alabama and Ohio, where constituents slammed Trump's agenda items. Things like cuts to Medicaid and the so-called big beautiful bill, his harsh immigration crackdown, the federal takeover of Washington, D.C., and Donald Trump cozying up to dictators.

Bottom line, the attendees were loud and clear, saying, we do not want this. Take a listen at a little more of that anger just from this past week.

well the big deal was actually the Trump tax cut.

And I would also say that Trump is not a dictator and he's not going to be a dictator.

You may think that. He may have joked about that, quipped about that. That is his personality.

I'm not a psychologist.

But I'm not going to trust him.

How many times does he have to say it? I'm not a psychologist. You're not helping me. Believe me, you're not helping me.

You need to take your head out of Trump's ass and start doing that, your your representation of us.

Mr. Miller, you get the first crack at this. Your reaction to Republican lawmakers, getting it handed it to them at a whole bunch of town halls.

Hey girl, well, it's good to be with you. They deserve it, getting it handed to them. They're doing so few of these. I do think it's making it easy for people who are really engaged and really upset right now to organize and get out to those events.

And that's what you're seeing, right? We don't, obviously, Alabama is a red state that's overwhelmingly voting for Republicans. It doesn't mean that there aren't any Democrats in Alabama. There are Democrats, there are independents, there are people that are Republicans who are unhappy with what's happening in the administration. And those are the folks that are motivated to turn out right now. I think that the thing that is probably the most meaningful about this is,

you know, that's what really drives midterm elections. Energy, engagement, like which side is more motivated to act. Like you're seeing these things that opponents of this administration, broadly defined, are the ones that are the most engaged right now. I think that is a good sign for opposition as we head into, I guess there'll be a couple elections this November and then mostly next November. So I think that's like the biggest takeaway. I'm not sure that you're going to see much

change in behavior from these Republicans. They didn't, very few of them actually did town halls and you can kind of see why.

Tim, Iowa is certainly the reddest of red states, but now we've learned in the last couple of days that Iowa Senator Joni Ernst, obviously Republican, is not going to seek re-election. We do not know why, but I think we all remember that town hall that she held in May

when she responded to questions about Medicaid cuts saying everyone will die. That did not go over well and despite your feelings for this president, I know you still have a lot of Republicans on speed dial. What do you know about her recent decision not to seek

re-election? Sure and especially in Iowa, I've done a couple of campaigns, have a lot of friends that are working there. Look, I think this actually goes back to the Hegg-Seth confirmation, really, more than the town hall at the time. You know, we might all roll our eyes at this because the Republicans always seem to fold in the Senate, but that doesn't mean that at least some of them weren't like really seriously contemplating their political choices, you know, in the fallout from Trump's second election.

He's nominating all these people that are clearly unqualified. For Ernst, I think she was hoping she might've been on the secretary of defense list. She gets passed over for a weekend Fox and Friends anchor. She has deep concerns, personal concerns

about sexual assault in the military. He has allegations of sexual assault against him. Obviously isn't gonna take that very seriously. He's shown disrespect to women in service. And so there was a lot of pressure on her then to vote for him.

And I think that she didn't really want to, just projecting a little bit from what I've heard from friends. And she ends up voting for him. And here she is now in this situation in the Senate where you just gotta do whatever Donald Trump says. You have no independence.

You're getting shouted down at town halls. It's not a fun job. So I don't have any sympathy for her. It's a job that she signed up for. But I think if you think of it in that context, it makes sense she's not gonna run.

And Iowa is a pretty deep red state now. Was purple not that long ago. Matt Dow can talk to you about that. I think his can his some of his candidates won Iowa a few times not too long ago. Uh, so I don't, you know, who knows what happens with the republicans there. I think if they nominate a mainstream type mega republican, one of the congresswoman Ashley Henson that she probably will be a favorite if they nominate a lunatic. It could be a state that comes into play for the Democrats, particularly, you know, if we continue to see the momentum that we're seeing, you know, from from turnout and engagement folks on the left.

Tim, I turn to you. Donald Trump has the lowest approval rating he's had since entering office right now. If Matthew and Eddie are right and they're not just preparing to cheat, cheating is on. Why on earth does this party continue to cling to Donald Trump and not look for the other name, the other person, the future of the party? Look at his numbers.

Look at how the country's feeling about him.

Yeah.

Well, cheating is easier than separating from Donald Trump. It would be one one part. And I think that obviously that what they're doing, you know, is going to have a big impact in the House. You know, that doesn't you can't you can't gerrymander the Senate. So kind of we'll see what the plans are for those guys and how they're going to compete in the Senate. I think the answer for why Republicans are distancing

themselves from Trump is right there on that on that poll you just showed. Ninety three percent of Republicans still approve of him. And and these these senators, these House members, governors, they're responsive to their own base voters first and foremost. And I think the thing that they're the most scared of

is being thrown out by their own base voters. I think a lot of these guys live in fear of living the life that Jeff Flake or Liz Cheney or Adam Kinzinger have right now. They don't want to be thrust out from their tribe. They don't wanna be, you know, if Joni Ernst leaves now,

she'll be able to get a fancy lobbying job because she's still in good standing in the Republican party. If you distance for Trump and you lose anyway, you know, then you're really on the outs. And I think that all of these guys

are afraid of that deeply. And I think that they judge continue to be the case until

that number of 93% of Republicans supporting Trump goes down. Tim, Trump's adopted home state is Florida, with one of the highest elderly populations in the country. And you know what's really helpful for senior citizens? The ability to vote by mail.

So why would Trump push this so hard? Yeah, also military is another group where it's important to be able to vote by mail, for example, obviously. Look, I mean, again, I think that like Eddie, he's still wrapped around the ax around 2020 in his head. I think that is I think that is part of it. I think that another thing that I'm worried about, we were talking in the last segment about concerns about cheating in the midterms. I mean, obviously the gerrymandering thing

is one part of cheating, but I was thinking more about, sometimes you hear people are worried about them messing with the ballots or the machines or something more directly cheating with the vote count. And I'm not concerned about that

as compared to a stop the steal redux, where the cheat happens after the election. I think it's not really that far-fetched because they've already done it to imagine a situation where maybe Democrats win the House by a narrow margin and Mike Johnson and Donald Trump say that we're not going to seat Democrats that won in states that were all male voting. California, Colorado, Washington, a lot of those are blue states for example. And so this might be kind of a pretense to complain or cheat later.

I think that is like as likely as them trying to actually change the rules this time because you know for now we still have a republic with locally run elections and Donald Trump's executive order isn't worth anything unless the local you know you know Jurisdictions decide to cancel mail-in ballot. Tim, thank you for joining us this afternoon