Will Trump's Hormuz Blockade Work? - Or Is America Heading Towards A Regime Change! | Akash Banerjee

The war on Iran has been going on for 6 weeks now. Donald Trump's optimistic expectation of ending the war in 4-6 weeks is now a flop. Now the world is wondering if the situation before the war was better or worse. There are many reasons for this. First of all, Hormuz was open for free traffic. Now, there is a blockade on it. Donald Trump has double-blocked it.

So, now, from zero blockade to double blockade, after six weeks. Earlier, there could have been a talk with nuclear weapons. There could have been a nuclear deal. Obama had also made a nuclear deal with Iran. But now, Iran is even more adamant

that it knows that if a nuclear weapon surrenders, then it will not leave America. Iran is even more determined to stop the US from surrendering. Iran was divided before. Now Iran is united against the US. The hardliner IRGC is now entrenched. So, we say bye bye to democracy. America is now being attacked by the same allies who were trying to protect us. This has led to a liability in the Gulf. The US has never faced such a problem with its allies since World War II.

Trump is abusing his allies and threatening them. The structure of NATO, Western and Democratic alliances have been completely destroyed. Along with that, the international order and rule of law have been destroyed. We will discuss why this has become a worry for India. But the main point is that Donald Trump has played his latest master card. He has said that he will double block and UNO Hormuz.

Now, he will have block and double uno. So let's understand the logic behind Donald Trump's blockade. Will this make Iran's negotiating table more aggressive? Or will this pass be a turning blow for the US and Western powers. Let's first look at the map to understand why Hormuz is so important. The narrowest point is 50 km and it is right next to Iran's coast. Iran has tried to use this as. 20% of your oil, gas, and gas supply goes from here.

Hundreds of ships are standing here thinking when will we be able to go and when not. After the fragile ceasefire, Iran has cleared the airspace and started charging tolls. They are charging 2 million dollars from big tankers. So basically it's a toll gate. We haven't stopped Hormuz. My friend China should go for free. And if European countries want neutral countries,

not pro-America Israel, they should pay us a toll and leave. This is what Donald Trump has used to say that this is extortion. This is financial terrorism. We won't accept this. We have not accept this. We will break it.

So, this moralistic position... Suddenly, morals are being reminded. After killing the girls, after killing the civilians, after blowing up their mosques with missiles, Donald Trump is now remembering international rules and regulations and laws, where he is saying that we will not allow this extortion. And to stop this, to challenge this, he will double blockade.

Now, no one can go. So, basically, if not us, then not even you. No one can go. Now, will this double blockade logic work or not? First of all, let's clear one thing. This is not according to any planning.

Donald Trump is basically scraping at the bottom of the barrel. He is using any idea that he gets. So, he got the idea to double blockade. When negotiations are not happening, he immediately says that no one will be able to cross the border. The US Navy and the Central Command said that the ships coming from the Iranian port will be stopped. The rest will be allowed to cross the border. other traffic can go through. So, first of all, there was no planning on this. This was announced through Donald Trump's tweet. After that, the rest of the US system said that this is Trump's latest masterstroke, how can this be used?

But this blockade, its logic, how much logic is right, how much logic is wrong, I think it is necessary to look at it. Because it will sound very good in the paper, but will Iran be able to negotiate with Iran? The idea is that Iran is also a part of exporting oil. Can you blockade Iran and bring it to the negotiating table? The simple idea is that if Iran is unable to export oil, it will struggle like the rest of the world. America estimates that they have storage capacity for two weeks.

If they can't export even after two weeks, they will have to shut down their wells. So, at least two weeks are required to make this blockade successful. So, you can imagine that this war is not going to end. It will take at least two weeks. After that, the attempt will be to prevent boots on the ground. You can see how the F-16 fighter crashed, the pilot was rescued, for which hundreds of people went. After that, after boots on the ground, no one is doing it with that much interest. Because it was basically a ground operation that failed.

We had already told you about the failure of the first one. Will it be on the Tehran table in two weeks? Or is it a bad idea? I have 10 points to discuss. Why is it a bad idea? Trump's idea must have been a deliberate one. Or Trump must have done it without thinking.

Number 1. America must have misunderstood that Iran cannot answer asymmetrically. Remember, this is the same Donald Trump who was surprised by Iran's attack on Gulf nations. Iran still has cards to play and can use asymmetric warfare. Secondly, Iran will be shocked when the oil supply is shut down. You allowed India to buy oil from Iran which stabilized international prices. You allowed Russia to buy oil.

Now you are saying that you will squeeze the global supply. Will the world be shocked or Iran? You can block the Hormuz by yourself. And if you do a targeted blockade, the insurance costs were already spiking, ships were not going to leave. Now, you think that they will try to play a trick

that first they will cross the Iran blockade, then the US blockade, and then the money, international shipping will a loss if this is actually imposed. And what will happen with this? The threat of recession, fear of more fuel price hike, there will be more economic pain in America,

people will be in pain, fuel prices have already increased by 30% in a month in America. This amount will continue to increase. America says it doesn't need oil but it is still a net importer of petroleum products. Yes, it makes gas separately. Another calculation that Trump is forgetting is that he is fighting against China. A country that Trump doesn't want to face.

We saw this during the tariff war. Do you think China will keep on holding on to the 80-90% oil supply of Iran through unnamed ships, through sanctioned ships, but the rest goes to China? Will China take this blockade quietly or will it challenge it? And if it challenges it, Donald Trump will not be able to do anything. Then Donald Trump will be, then it will be even more humiliating for him. So, this is a matter of challenging resilience. As far as resilience is concerned, Iran has the capability to tolerate sanctions and blockade for years.

As a matter of fact, the latest reports show that a sanctioned tanker has crossed the blockade. So, does the US have the try to blockade it, it will be 300 km away. And if you try to blockade it, it will be 300 km away. Why is it bad news for us? Look at the US stock market, look at our stock market, look at China's situation, look at our situation. Why is our situation getting worse? Why is our situation getting tight? People are getting worried about the cylinder. I think you saw what happened in Noida.

You saw how people were worried about where to buy cylinders for their salaries. The government doesn't want to show you, but a crisis is already developing in our country. If this double blockade happens, no government will be able to stop it, suppress it, control it, or find alternate routes. And that's why I'm saying that the coming days are going to be even worse. If this war is not ended, then it will have a bigger impact on India than China, more than America, India will be impacted. We got 4 million barrels of oil from China, Iran, fortunately. Because we allowed two supertankers to export oil to Iran.

There is no tension. America had given Iran permission to stabilize international prices. But now, after this blockade, you don't expect any other supertanker from Iran. After 7 years, we started to face the reality that we have to buy oil again. We stopped buying oil because of US sanctions. Now, we have to buy oil again because of US sanctions.

So, this is going to be a problem for us. But we can't do anything about it. China can openly criticize America, but we can't do anything about it. We are a quad partner. We need a low tariff. If we get a higher tariff, we will be in trouble. We can't even do a little bit. If the US imposes a blockade, then it will be imposed. If it removes it, then it will be removed.

If it stops buying oil from Iran, then it will be stopped. If it starts buying from Iran, then it will be stopped. This is our situation at present. China has diversified its supply chain. We have to buy more than 50% of LPG from here. We are so dependent on a straight of hormones. We have not diversified our supply lines. We have not tried to find our own gas. We are still far from self-sufficiency. Oil is poor, we don't have our own resources, and we are dependent on Hormuz. The world will be in a race to tap the limited supply of oil.

The international prices will increase if the supply is blocked. We are oil poor, we haven't diversified our supply. Those who have the ability to buy will have to pay more. You and I will have to pay more soon. Once the elections are over, we will see how the prices will rise if this blockade is not over.

If the solution to this war is not found. Now, 6 weeks ago, there was talk of regime change. 6 weeks later, there is still talk of regime change. But the talk of regime change is not happening in Iran. The talk of regime change is happening in America. Now, it not happening in Iran. It is happening in America and Israel.

How can we change the emotions? On one hand, Trump wants a war to save himself from Epstein file. On the other hand, Netanyahu wants to commit genocide to save himself from corruption. Very interesting politics is going on in this war. Donald Trump's popularity has now gone down to 43% which is the lowest in modern American history for any president.

Nixon, who was being impeached, his popularity went down to 42% in his last week, before which he had to resign. Trump has also crossed that and is now at minus 43. He has become such an unpopular president because the American people voted for him. They said that he is an outsider and will not fight. They said that he will focus on the security. That's why you will see cartoons in America where Trump is either a pet of Netanyahu

or is working as a servant for Netanyahu. People are very upset by seeing Trump being a pet of Israel. Because he said he won't fight but people are seeing that he is fighting on behalf of Israel.

Is Epstein File behind this? Is Trump being blackmailed in some way? It is very strange that during the ceasefire, when the ceasefire was being accepted, Melania comes forward and says that she has no association with Epstein. Why was the First Lady giving such a statement at such a sensitive time? Was there going to be a new material?

Was Israel putting pressure from behind? Because it is an old conspiracy theory that Epstein was the biggest player in getting Melania and Trump together. So, Melania is coming and giving her own clarification when this war is going on. The lies linking me with the disgraceful Jeffrey Epstein need to end today.

I never had a relationship with Epstein or his accomplice Maxwell.

It is debatable how much of Epstein's truth is true. But it is not debatable how Israel has an influence on American policy. Israel is not even trying to hide it. Listen to what Netanyahu is saying. JD Vance called me and gave me the entire reporting.

I spoke yesterday with Vice President JD Vance. He called me from his plane on the way back from Washington.

He reported to me in detail as the people of this administration do every day. Trump can become the next president. He reports on the Prime Minister of Israel. He does all the reporting. This is the influence of Israel on American politics. I think Americans are very upset by this. That is why there is a lot of protest. No to war is being said.

Netanyahu is also doing an interesting job. Netanyahu understands that if we talk about Europe, if we talk about America to some extent, their support is slipping. European leaders are openly speaking against Israel, against their genocidal actions.

So Netanyahu is also playing on the front foot, saying that European leaders, you have no shame. You should save us from barbarism, against genocide, and you are speaking against us. We are defending Europe. the The whole world has to isolate this rogue, apartheid, genocidal, maniac, serial killing, pathologically lying state.

You cannot expect change in a society this far gone.

On one hand Trump is trying to escape Epstein and on the other hand Netanyahu is trying to escape his serious corruption allegations. He is saying that war is going on. My hearing should be done later. You can file a case against me later. This is the case of leaders of the West. They are considered as supreme leaders in our country. But in America, people are saying that the 25th amendment is the only way to get rid of the president. Power can be transferred to the vice president if he is not mentally equipped. There is a lot of talk about Trump's mental state. Former CIA director said that the 25th amendment was made after seeing people like Trump.

Trump's major supporters are questioning whether Trump's mind has been fused.

Do you really think that the president should be removed from office?

I think we have to question the mental stability of any president that threatens to wipe out an entire civilization of people." It's clear that they have a short circuit. First they abuse and say, Open the Hormuz trade, you crazy bees. They abused first. Then they threatened to wipe out the whole civilization. But that didn't happen. They got tackled and the chicken was out.

But then, the American president, who is also called the Christian nation, attacked the Pope. He said that the Pope is weak on crime and terrible on foreign policy. So, the Pope was not spared by Donald Trump. And then, obviously, he made himself Jesus Christ and tweeted that he is God. It's surprising that Trump felt a little ashamed there and there must have been some blowback. Trump deleted one tweet where he tried to show himself as Jesus Christ.

He said that he was just a doctor and people are saying that he is Jesus Christ. He said that if you say anything against Trump, you will be made a fake news. 61% of Americans think that Trump is erratic and is aging. So, people are starting to doubt his mental health. We can only hope that he is okay. We are still waiting for the right conversation to take place. Iran has agreed to not enrich for 5 years but America wants to do it for 20 years. We will know the truth in a few hours. The reality of Trump and Netanyahu is out there.

We will know the truth in a few hours. The reality of Trump and Netanyahu is out there. And this attempt to block Hormuz will also be a part of a cartoon.